Sunday, January 18, 2015

And now that the game is over . . .

. . . a great win for Seattle, but also a good example of how people make questionable decisions based on recent experience.

In retrospect it's pretty clear that a 12-point lead, on the road, against an explosive team is not really all that much.    So the Packers should never have been as conservative as they were on their last couple of possessions.    But Seattle had had zero offense--literally, zero--to that point and it seemed like the right thing to everyone, myself included.  It just didn't turn out that way.

I've always been skeptical of the Moneyball concept, that is, the idea that statistics or computer-driven data should take the place of common sense decisions.    Maybe this is one time they should have.   But of course, a computer would never have told Russell Wilson to throw a 40- or 50-yard pass on the game's last play, which is exactly what he did.   And won the game.

Congratulations Seahawks!


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